GAME ANALYSIS
Location: Giants Stadium
This is the first time Peyton has faced Eli in a competitive team sport. Peyton is forecasted to get the edge. The team doesn't have Edgerrin James to rely on and is forced to air it out. The Giants may try to pressure Peyton and have success sacking him 2.5 times per simulation, but Peyton still connects for well over 60% of his passes and nearly 300 yards. Eli Manning is struggling with more INTs than Pass TDs forecasted. However, the combo of Tiki Barber and Brandon Jacobs does significantly better than the Colts RBs. These two combine for nearly 1.5 rushing TDs per simulation. This game should be a very close one and if Adam Vinatieri's sprained ligament doesn't cause him too many problems his clutch kicking could be the difference.
WINNING PERCENTAGE (%)
Colts
59.8%
Giants
39.9%
WIN BY 10 OR MORE POINTS
Colts
35.5%
Giants
18.7%
WIN BY UNDER 5 POINTS
Colts
11.2%
Giants
11.0%
VISITING TEAM PLAYER FORECAST
PASSING
P Manning QBR 100.3 PY 289.9 TD 2.5 INT 0.8
RUSHING
Rhodes R 15.2 YDS 60.6 YPC 3.9 TD 0.4
Addai R 10.9 YDS 40.1 YPC 3.6 TD 0.3
Mungro R 0.8 YDS 2.4 YPC 2.8 TD 0.0
RECEIVING
Wayne REC 5.0 RYD 74.7 YPC 14.9 TD 0.5
Harrison REC 5.5 RYD 69.9 YPC 12.7 TD 0.8
Stokley REC 4.0 RYD 63.3 YPC 15.8 TD 0.4
Clark REC 2.4 RYD 32.5 YPC 13.5 TD 0.3
DEFENSE
SACK 2.6 INT 1.3 FUMREC 0.3 TO 1.6
HOME TEAM PLAYER FORECAST
PASSING
E Manning QBR 72.8 YDS 211.7 TD 1.1 INT 1.3
RUSHING
Barber R 18.4 YDS 78.6 YPC 4.2 TD 0.5
Jacobs R 5.3 YDS 18.6 YPC 3.5 TD 0.8
E Manning R 1.4 YDS 4.5 YPC 3.3 TD 0.0
RECEIVING
Burress REC 3.7 RYD 60.8 YPC 16.4 TD 0.4
Toomer REC 3.2 RYD 42.9 YPC 13.4 TD 0.2
Shockey REC 3.4 RYD 40.2 YPC 11.8 TD 0.2
Barber REC 2.6 RYD 26.8 YPC 10.3 TD 0.1
DEFENSE
SACK 2.4 INT 0.8 FUMREC 0.5 TO 1.3
Current Line:
IND -3
IND. -31: 51.7%
NYG+3: 43.5%
Current Total
48
Over 48: 52.8%
Under 48: 43.6%
Location: Giants Stadium
This is the first time Peyton has faced Eli in a competitive team sport. Peyton is forecasted to get the edge. The team doesn't have Edgerrin James to rely on and is forced to air it out. The Giants may try to pressure Peyton and have success sacking him 2.5 times per simulation, but Peyton still connects for well over 60% of his passes and nearly 300 yards. Eli Manning is struggling with more INTs than Pass TDs forecasted. However, the combo of Tiki Barber and Brandon Jacobs does significantly better than the Colts RBs. These two combine for nearly 1.5 rushing TDs per simulation. This game should be a very close one and if Adam Vinatieri's sprained ligament doesn't cause him too many problems his clutch kicking could be the difference.
WINNING PERCENTAGE (%)
Colts
Giants
WIN BY 10 OR MORE POINTS
Colts
Giants
WIN BY UNDER 5 POINTS
Colts
Giants
VISITING TEAM PLAYER FORECAST
PASSING
P Manning QBR 100.3 PY 289.9 TD 2.5 INT 0.8
RUSHING
Rhodes R 15.2 YDS 60.6 YPC 3.9 TD 0.4
Addai R 10.9 YDS 40.1 YPC 3.6 TD 0.3
Mungro R 0.8 YDS 2.4 YPC 2.8 TD 0.0
RECEIVING
Wayne REC 5.0 RYD 74.7 YPC 14.9 TD 0.5
Harrison REC 5.5 RYD 69.9 YPC 12.7 TD 0.8
Stokley REC 4.0 RYD 63.3 YPC 15.8 TD 0.4
Clark REC 2.4 RYD 32.5 YPC 13.5 TD 0.3
DEFENSE
SACK 2.6 INT 1.3 FUMREC 0.3 TO 1.6
HOME TEAM PLAYER FORECAST
PASSING
E Manning QBR 72.8 YDS 211.7 TD 1.1 INT 1.3
RUSHING
Barber R 18.4 YDS 78.6 YPC 4.2 TD 0.5
Jacobs R 5.3 YDS 18.6 YPC 3.5 TD 0.8
E Manning R 1.4 YDS 4.5 YPC 3.3 TD 0.0
RECEIVING
Burress REC 3.7 RYD 60.8 YPC 16.4 TD 0.4
Toomer REC 3.2 RYD 42.9 YPC 13.4 TD 0.2
Shockey REC 3.4 RYD 40.2 YPC 11.8 TD 0.2
Barber REC 2.6 RYD 26.8 YPC 10.3 TD 0.1
DEFENSE
SACK 2.4 INT 0.8 FUMREC 0.5 TO 1.3
Current Line:
IND -3
IND. -31: 51.7%
NYG+3: 43.5%
Current Total
48
Over 48: 52.8%
Under 48: 43.6%
